Is 2024 An El Nino Year Or Not

Is 2024 An El Nino Year Or Not. If a la nina forms this year it would be the fourth since 2020, which is highly unusual given the weather pattern has historically occurred on average every three to. El niño is officially over, federal forecasters announced, but we're not quite in a la niña yet.

Noaa projects an 85 percent chance that the enso cycle will shift to its neutral phase between april and june 2024, and then a 60 percent chance a la niña. They fear it will help push the world past a key 1.5c warming milestone.